Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Elmer Moller		Chris Rodesch

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.05	1.33
	3.33	1.36
	3.41	1.28	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.09	1.32	Watch
	3.1	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.11)	1.33 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
29.5%

Chris Rodesch
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elmer Moller's form might have worsened.

Chris Rodesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chris Rodesch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elmer Moller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Rodesch than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chris Rodesch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Elmer Moller - Chris Rodesch Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Moller (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Rodesch (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chris Rodesch will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chris Rodesch will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Moller (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Rodesch (votes: 10 - 76.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 119. Rodesch is ranked ATP: 209.

In recent matches, Moller has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodesch is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rodesch might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Rodesch will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Chris Rodesch - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.26%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Elmer Moller - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Elmer Moller - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Elmer Moller - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Elmer Moller - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- Chris Rodesch
ATP Challenger
25.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Zsombor Piros	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Mats Rosenkranz - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	August Holmgren - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

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