Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.17	1.61
	2.19	1.7
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.49)	1.65 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
43.3%

Jaime Faria
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez Varona's performance.

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaime Faria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Alvarez Varona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaime Faria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Faria will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 282. Faria is ranked ATP: 117.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Faria will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Alex Barrena - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Matias Soto	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
27.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - George Loffhagen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWW?L
- Jaime Faria
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Jaume Munar - Jaime Faria	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Jaime Faria - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Jaime Faria - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Jaime Faria - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Jaime Faria - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWL

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jaime Faria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide