Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion (Paraguay), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Emilio Nava		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.04	Watch
	1.71	2.12	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.69	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.9)	2.04 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
54.4%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emilio Nava's performance.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emilio Nava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Emilio Nava - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nava is ranked ATP: 235. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 149.

Nava is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barrios Vera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nava won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Andrea Collarini - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Felix Corwin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled ✺
13.03.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	2:0
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	0:2

Emilio Nava - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide