Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion (Paraguay), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.85	1.86	Watch
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.68)	1.91 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
51.3%

Emilio Nava
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Emilio Nava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas is ranked ATP: 236. Nava is ranked ATP: 235.

Recent matches Varillas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nava is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Varillas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Emilio Nava - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.65%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Andrea Collarini - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
22.02.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2
ATP Challenger
17.01.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide