Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Emilio Nava		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.27	Watch
	3.42	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.53	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	1.3 (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
27.3%

Matteo Berrettini
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Emilio Nava - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Berrettini will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Nava (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nava is ranked ATP: 81. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 57.

Nava is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Berrettini has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Berrettini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Berrettini is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.26	Mariano Navone - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Emilio Nava - Cameron Norrie	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Emilio Nava - Kyrian Jacquet	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Emilio Nava - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Matteo Berrettini - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.26	Vit Kopriva - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWW?L

Emilio Nava - Matteo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide