Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Matteo Berrettini		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.34	3.2	Watch
	1.37	3.4
	1.35	3.34	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.37	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.84)	3.23 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
70.6%

Dusan Lajovic
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Berrettini's performance.

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dusan Lajovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Berrettini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+23%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dusan Lajovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Matteo Berrettini - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Lajovic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 57. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 129.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lajovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.26	Vit Kopriva - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Federico Coria - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 W?LW?
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.26	Dusan Lajovic - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hugo Dellien - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLW?L

Matteo Berrettini - Dusan Lajovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide