Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 (Greece), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday


	Ergi Kirkin		Federico Cina

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.91	1.44
	2.87	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.13)	1.38 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
32.3%

Federico Cina
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ergi Kirkin's form might have worsened.

Federico Cina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Cina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Cina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ergi Kirkin - Federico Cina Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kirkin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cina will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cina: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kirkin is ranked ATP: 300. Cina is ranked ATP: 557.

Kirkin is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cina is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kirkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cina will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Cina to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Cina - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.21%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Marek Gengel - Ergi Kirkin	Gengel M. retired ✺
11.03.25	Ergi Kirkin - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
15.02.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Ergi Kirkin	Kirkin E. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Ergi Kirkin - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 ?WL?L
- Federico Cina
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Federico Cina - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Federico Cina - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Federico Cina - Henry Searle	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.03.25	Martin Damm - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Federico Cina - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WW?WW

Ergi Kirkin - Federico Cina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide