Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, MTV Urheilu 3
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Fabian Marozsan		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	3.05	1.38	Watch
	3.20	1.43
	2.87	1.42	Watch
	3.00	1.41	Watch
	2.98	1.42	Watch
	2.85	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.59)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
32%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fabian Marozsan - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 62. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 25.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, Davidovich Fokina is the team to beat.

We predict that Davidovich Fokina will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marozsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.33%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Mallorca
25.06.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
ATP Halle
18.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Mallorca
25.06.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Adam Walton - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP London
19.06.26	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Cameron Norrie - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Fabian Marozsan - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2

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