Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Ethan Quinn		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.49	1.57
	2.45	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.54	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.06)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethan Quinn
38.2%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethan Quinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethan Quinn's form might have worsened.

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethan Quinn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ethan Quinn - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Quinn is ranked ATP: 54. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 101.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.53%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethan Quinn
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Ethan Quinn - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Terence Atmane - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Ethan Quinn - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Ethan Quinn - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Joel Schwaerzler	Canceled ✺
ATP Bucharest
05.04.26	Mariano Navone - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Titouan Droguet - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 W?LWL

Ethan Quinn - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide