Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Ethan Quinn		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.15	1.71	Watch
	2.18	1.76
	2.12	1.69	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.76	Watch
	2.1	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.29)	1.72 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethan Quinn
44.5%

Jiri Lehecka
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethan Quinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ethan Quinn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiri Lehecka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Ethan Quinn - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Quinn will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Lehecka will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Quinn: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Quinn (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Quinn is ranked ATP: 56. Lehecka is ranked ATP: 22.

Quinn is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lehecka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Quinn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lehecka could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Quinn will win today's game, with odds of 2.29.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ethan Quinn - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Jiri Lehecka - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethan Quinn
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Casper Ruud - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Marcos Giron - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Billy Harris - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Moise Kouame - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Sebastian Baez - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLW?

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