Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)


	Fabian Marozsan		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.76	2.19
	1.76	2.19
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.71	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.91)	2.16 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
55.6%

Francisco Cerundolo
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabian Marozsan's performance.

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.9%	0%	48.1%

Fabian Marozsan - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 14 - 51.9%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Marozsan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marozsan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Madrid
24.04.24	Aslan Karatsev - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.24	Fabian Marozsan - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Fabian Marozsan - Luca Van Assche	van Assche L. retired ✺
15.04.24	Fabian Marozsan - Martin Landaluce	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.24	Alexander Zverev - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WL??L
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Bucharest
20.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
17.01.24	Fabian Marozsan - Francisco Cerundolo	3:0

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