Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MARSEILLE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 5 February 2024, Monday


	Fabian Marozsan		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	X	2
	2.09		1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.3)		1.74 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
45.4%

Lorenzo Musetti
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fabian Marozsan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Musetti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Marozsan Fabian - withdrawn.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
Davis Cup World Group
03.02.24	Fabian Marozsan - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
02.02.24	Fabian Marozsan - Dominik Koepfer	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Fabian Marozsan	3:1 ✺
17.01.24	Fabian Marozsan - Francisco Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Fabian Marozsan - Marin Cilic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?LLWW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Australian Open
16.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Luca Van Assche	2:3 ✺
14.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Benjamin Bonzi	3:1 ✺
ATP Adelaide
11.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
10.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL

Fabian Marozsan - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide