Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nine Network
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
World	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Lorenzo Musetti		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.48	2.7	Watch
	1.43	3.02
	1.49	2.83
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.78	Watch
	1.42	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	2.8 ↓ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
65.9%

Luca Van Assche
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Lorenzo Musetti - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Van Assche will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Musetti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Benjamin Bonzi	3:1 ✺
ATP Adelaide
11.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
10.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
02.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	James Duckworth - Luca Van Assche	2:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
10.01.24	Luca Van Assche - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Luca Van Assche - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Christian Garin - Luca Van Assche	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWW?

Lorenzo Musetti - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide