Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	11:45	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2


	Tomas Machac		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	3.20	1.36	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.10	1.37	Watch
	3.01	1.41	Watch
	3.25	1.36
	3.33	1.35	Watch
	3.05	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.98)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
30.2%

Karen Khachanov
69.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tomas Machac - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 72., and Khachanov is ranked ATP: 25..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Khachanov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Khachanov carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Machac has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 68.27%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Almaty
21.10.26	Zangar Nurlanuly - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Tomas Machac - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Tomas Machac - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Tomas Machac - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Almaty
20.10.26	Rei Sakamoto - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
13.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Karen Khachanov - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Karen Khachanov - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
04.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
18.01.24	Tomas Machac - Karen Khachanov	1:3

Tomas Machac - Karen Khachanov