Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Corentin Moutet		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.33	1.61	Watch
	2.41	1.63
	2.56	1.48	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.32	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.01)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
40.2%

Tomas Machac
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Moutet's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Corentin Moutet - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Moutet will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Machac will win (votes: 15 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 33. Machac is ranked ATP: 48.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Machac may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tomas Machac - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.6%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Alexander Zverev - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLL
- Tomas Machac
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Emilio Nava - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.26	Tomas Machac - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Machac	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 W?L?L

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