Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Francisco Cerundolo		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2	1.75	Watch
	1.96	1.85	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.88	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.12)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
47%

Grigor Dimitrov
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.6%	0%	61.4%

Francisco Cerundolo - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 16 - 39%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 25 - 61%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 46.1% – 75.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 24. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 15.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Dimitrov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Dimitrov to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
22.06.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0

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