Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.8	1.25	Watch
	3.2	1.32	Watch
	2.93	1.4	Watch
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.48	1.31	Watch
	3.2	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (4.81)	1.32 ↑ (1.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
27.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

80.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	0%	56.2%

Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 32% – 80.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 20%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 22. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.

Cerundolo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alcaraz Garfia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Fabio Fognini - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
26.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Miami
21.03.25	David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Denis Shapovalov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
13.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP London
18.06.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0
ITF Tournaments
26.01.19	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0

Upcoming Matches