Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Campistol J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.35
	1.66	2.35
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.26	Watch
	1.66	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)	2.31 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
58.7%

Denis Shapovalov
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	0%	48.3%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Diaz Acosta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Diaz Acosta will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Barcelona
19.04.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Fabian Marozsan - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.24	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Denis Shapovalov - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
20.03.24	Luciano Darderi - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWW

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide