Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Lahyani M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Luciano Darderi		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.31
	1.68	2.31
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.17	Watch
	1.68	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	2.23 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
57.2%

Denis Shapovalov
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Luciano Darderi - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Shapovalov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Darderi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
04.05.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Federico Coria - Luciano Darderi	Coria F. retired ✺
02.05.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
30.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 L?WWL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Denis Shapovalov - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.24	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
20.03.24	Luciano Darderi - Denis Shapovalov	1:2

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