Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Denis Shapovalov		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.42	Watch
	2.91	1.45
	2.93	1.45
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	1.99	1.82	Watch
	1.76	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.49)	1.55 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
36.8%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

72.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Shapovalov's performance.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefanos Tsitsipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Shapovalov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Tsitsipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.6%	0%	85.4%

Denis Shapovalov - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (35 of 41 users predict this - 85.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.55% – 96.19%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tsitsipas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Luciano Darderi - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
08.03.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.24	Jiri Lehecka - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Francis Tiafoe - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Lucas Pouille - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
29.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
20.04.23	Denis Shapovalov - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2
ATP Cup
02.01.20	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov	0:2
ATP Miami
26.03.19	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov	1:2
ATP Monte Carlo
16.04.18	Denis Shapovalov - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2
ATP Australian Open
14.01.18	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov	0:3

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