Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.40	2.70
	1.48	2.55
	1.46	2.90
	1.41	2.72	Watch
	1.46	2.80	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	2.7 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
65.2%

Vilius Gaubas
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 107. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 128.

Now, both players are in good form.

Diaz Acosta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diaz Acosta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Chun Hsin Tseng	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2

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