Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 9 February 2026, Monday
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Blake Ellis |
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Fajing Sun |
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- The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Blake Ellis
55.8% | Fajing Sun
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blake Ellis that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajing Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun Predictions
Users Predictions:
Blake Ellis will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Blake Ellis will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Ellis is ranked ATP: 518. Sun is ranked ATP: 273.Ellis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Sun has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ellis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 05.02.26 | Fajing Sun - Blake Ellis | 0:2 |
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