Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Sergio Callejon Hernando

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.79	2.07
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.09)	1.99 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
53.2%

Sergio Callejon Hernando
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Arnaboldi's performance.

Sergio Callejon Hernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sergio Callejon Hernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Federico Arnaboldi - Sergio Callejon Hernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 481. Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 438.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Arnaboldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Sergio Callejon Hernando - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.73%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Giorgio Tabacco	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
04.05.26	Jay Clarke - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL
- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.04.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Arthur Nagel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW

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