Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: New Delhi, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Federico Cina		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.63
	2.23	1.60	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.28	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.91)	1.57 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Cina
40.6%

Rei Sakamoto
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Cina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Cina's performance.

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rei Sakamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Federico Cina - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Games - Cina (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cina (votes: 1 - 50%). Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cina is ranked ATP: 225. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 168.

Recent performances by Cina have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sakamoto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sakamoto is a strong favorite.

We predict that Sakamoto will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Cina
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Federico Cina - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Federico Cina - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Federico Cina - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Oliver Crawford - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Alastair Gray - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Federico Cina	2:0

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