Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3.05	Watch
	1.4	3.21
	1.45	2.72	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)	2.96 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
67.8%

Benjamin Bonzi
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Aliassime-Auger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benjamin Bonzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bonzi will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bonzi (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3 Games - Bonzi (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benjamin Bonzi will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 28. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 63.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aliassime-Auger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Rinderknech A. retired ✺
09.08.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Fabian Marozsan - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP Hopman Cup
20.07.25	Flavio Cobolli - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?WLLW
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Adam Walton - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWLL

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