Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.33	Watch
	3.38	1.37
	3.44	1.30	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
27.8%

Lorenzo Musetti
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benjamin Bonzi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Benjamin Bonzi - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Musetti will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Musetti (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 63. Musetti is ranked ATP: 10.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Musetti is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bonzi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Adam Walton - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Jordan Thompson - Benjamin Bonzi	3:2 ✺
30.06.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Daniil Medvedev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WLLLW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Lorenzo Musetti - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Benjamin Bonzi	3:1
ATP Adelaide 2
10.01.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Benjamin Bonzi	Canceled
ATP Challenger
21.01.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2
24.09.19	Lorenzo Musetti - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0
12.08.19	Lorenzo Musetti - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0

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