Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.15
	1.4	3.23
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.36	3.15	Watch
	1.39	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 (1.37)	3.1 ↓ (3.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
69.3%

Sebastian Ofner
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Ofner will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aliassime-Auger is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Tokyo
16.10.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
24.09.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled ✺
22.09.23	Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLL?W
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Tokyo
15.10.23	Sebastian Ofner - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.23	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
05.10.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Astana
02.10.23	Sebastian Ofner - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW

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