Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday


	Hamad Medjedovic		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.44	Watch
	1.56	2.47
	1.5	2.52	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.91)	2.46 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
61.6%

Stanislas Wawrinka
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamad Medjedovic's performance.

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stanislas Wawrinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamad Medjedovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stanislas Wawrinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	0%	13.5%

Hamad Medjedovic - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 Sets - Wawrinka (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Medjedovic (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Games - Wawrinka (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 12.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Medjedovic (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hamad Medjedovic will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamad Medjedovic will win (31 of 31 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Medjedovic (votes: 33 - 94.3%). Wawrinka (votes: 2 - 5.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 90. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 139.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Medjedovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Medjedovic could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stanislas Wawrinka - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Alex De Minaur	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Mariano Navone - Hamad Medjedovic	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
14.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Australian Open
24.01.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:3 ✺
22.01.26	Arthur Gea - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Laslo Djere - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
11.01.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL

Hamad Medjedovic - Stanislas Wawrinka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide