Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cassis, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Felix Balshaw

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.90	1.85	Watch
	1.93	1.93
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.88	1.90
	1.85	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.65)	1.87 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
49.9%

Felix Balshaw
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's form might have worsened.

Felix Balshaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Balshaw's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Balshaw than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Balshaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Felix Balshaw Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Balshaw (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Felix Balshaw will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 149. Balshaw is ranked ATP: 252.

Budkov Kjaer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Balshaw is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Budkov Kjaer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Balshaw is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Balshaw will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
02.09.26	Mark Lajal - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW
- Felix Balshaw
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Mark Lajal - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Billy Harris - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Felix Balshaw - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	August Holmgren - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Felix Balshaw: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide