Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hamburg 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marko Topo		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.73	1.49
	2.63	1.46	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.68	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.94)	1.46 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
35.6%

Hugo Gaston
64.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marko Topo - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gaston will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 251. Gaston is ranked ATP: 118.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gaston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 68.21%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Marko Topo - Eero Vasa	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Marko Topo - Nishesh Basavareddy	Canceled ✺
28.04.26	Marko Topo - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Marko Topo - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 L?LLL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Hugo Gaston - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Hugo Gaston - Matthias Ujvary	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Elmer Moller - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Vit Kopriva	✺

Marko Topo - Hugo Gaston