Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Ignacio Buse		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
			Watch
	1.27	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.79
	1.25	3.79	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	3.57 ↑ (3.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
73.7%

Hugo Gaston
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ignacio Buse - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 62. Gaston is ranked ATP: 118.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Buse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Buse is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Francis Tiafoe - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Marko Topo - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Hugo Gaston - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Hugo Gaston - Matthias Ujvary	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW

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