Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: New Delhi, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Felix Gill		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.12	1.79
	2.74	1.41	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.84)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Gill
43.5%

Michael Geerts
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Gill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Felix Gill's form might have worsened.

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Geerts's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felix Gill, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michael Geerts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Felix Gill - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gill will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Geerts will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gill: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Geerts (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felix Gill will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gill (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Geerts (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gill is ranked ATP: 322. Geerts is ranked ATP: 299.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Gill
ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Felix Gill - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Felix Gill - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.01.26	Ioannis Xilas - Felix Gill	Canceled ✺
21.01.26	Samuel Heredia - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWL?W
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Michael Geerts - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Michael Geerts - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Michael Geerts - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL

Felix Gill - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide