Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Filip Misolic		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.49	2.78
			Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.76	Watch
	1.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)	2.66 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Misolic
64.5%

Elmer Moller
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Misolic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Filip Misolic's performance.

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elmer Moller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Misolic than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Filip Misolic - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Misolic will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Moller will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Misolic: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Misolic (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Moller (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Misolic is ranked ATP: 105. Moller is ranked ATP: 102.

Misolic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moller is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Misolic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Misolic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Misolic
ATP Bastad
14.07.25	Filip Misolic - Olle Wallin	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Filip Misolic - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Filip Misolic - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Tom Gentzsch - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Elmer Moller - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

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