Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Roman Safiullin		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.98	1.82	Watch
	1.9	1.86	Watch
	1.89	1.85
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.90	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.2)	1.86 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
49.3%

Flavio Cobolli
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flavio Cobolli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flavio Cobolli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Roman Safiullin - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cobolli will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobolli: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 1 - 50%). Cobolli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 84., and Cobolli is ranked ATP: 7..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Safiullin may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Safiullin has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Safiullin - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.41%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.59%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Hangzhou
28.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Roman Safiullin - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Quentin Halys - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Fajing Sun - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Laver Cup
26.09.26	Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	3:1 ✺
03.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
01.09.26	Francisco Comesana - Flavio Cobolli	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
22.08.26	Flavio Cobolli - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
24.08.22	Roman Safiullin - Flavio Cobolli	0:2

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