Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Grandstand (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Italy	Super Tennis


	Matteo Berrettini		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.24	4.00
	1.25	3.95
	1.27	4.25
	1.24	3.9	Watch
	1.25	4.10
	1.23	4.34	Watch
	1.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.36)	4.09 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
76.7%

Stanislas Wawrinka
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Berrettini's performance.

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stanislas Wawrinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Berrettini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stanislas Wawrinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Matteo Berrettini - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 42. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 125.

Recent performances by Berrettini have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wawrinka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wawrinka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Berrettini is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Berrettini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Berrettini - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 70.18%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Titouan Droguet - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Matteo Berrettini	3:2 ✺
02.07.26	Matteo Berrettini - Arthur Fils	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.26	Jaime Faria - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Matteo Berrettini	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Matteo Berrettini	1:3
Exhibition Diriyah Men
08.12.22	Stanislas Wawrinka - Matteo Berrettini	2:1

Matteo Berrettini - Stanislas Wawrinka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide