Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Tomas Machac		Sho Shimabukuro

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Tomas Machac
73.3%

Sho Shimabukuro
26.7%

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

70.2%

29.8%

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Machac is ranked ATP: 22. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 271.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Machac is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP US Open
31.08.25	Tomas Machac - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	Ugo Blanchet - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
27.08.25	Joao Fonseca - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
24.08.25	Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWL
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Tokyo
23.09.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
31.08.25	Oliver Crawford - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWL?W

Tomas Machac - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide