Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Florent Bax		Maximilian Neuchrist

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.56	2.29
	1.57	2.52
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)	2.34 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florent Bax
59.8%

Maximilian Neuchrist
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Maximilian Neuchrist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Florent Bax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Neuchrist than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maximilian Neuchrist, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Florent Bax - Maximilian Neuchrist Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bax (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Florent Bax will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bax is ranked ATP: 268. Neuchrist is ranked ATP: 668.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Neuchrist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bax will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bax won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Florent Bax - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Florent Bax - Denis Yevseyev	Bax F. retired ✺
30.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Florent Bax - Marek Gengel	Gengel M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LW?L?
- Maximilian Neuchrist
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Stefano Napolitano - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Claude Ishimwe - Maximilian Neuchrist	0:2
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Maximilian Neuchrist - Jacob Bradshaw	Neuchrist M. retired ✺
11.02.26	Maximilian Neuchrist - Filippo Mazzola	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Alessandro Pecci - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.10.24	Maximilian Neuchrist - Florent Bax	2:1

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