Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: UMAG (CROATIA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.53
	2.5	1.52
	2.45	1.53
	2.45	1.56
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.49	1.49	Watch
	2.44	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.78)	1.51 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
37.8%

Facundo Bagnis
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Bagnis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Francesco Maestrelli - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bagnis will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bagnis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bagnis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bagnis will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Bastad
16.07.23	Damir Dzumhur - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Benoit Paire - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
03.07.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.06.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Gstaad
20.07.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
18.07.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Facundo Bagnis - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
15.07.23	Facundo Bagnis - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL

Francesco Maestrelli - Facundo Bagnis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide