Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.19	Watch
	1.6	2.43
	1.53	2.44	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.6	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)	2.32 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
59.3%

Francesco Maestrelli
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's performance.

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Maestrelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 139. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 113.

Budkov Kjaer has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maestrelli has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.02%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Francesco Maestrelli	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLL?

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide