Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 9 May 2023, Tuesday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.38	1.57
	2.25	1.65
	2.2	1.7
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.19	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.92)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
42%

Pedro Martinez Portero
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Maestrelli's form might have worsened.

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Francesco Maestrelli - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Maestrelli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Martinez Portero is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Martinez Portero will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
17.04.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Arthur Fils - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Andrea Vavassori - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Pedro Martinez Portero	Martinez P. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W?LLL

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