Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Francesco Passaro		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.29	1.59	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.28	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.55)	1.6 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
41.1%

Daniel Vallejo
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Francesco Passaro - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Passaro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vallejo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Vallejo (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniel Vallejo will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Passaro (votes: 1 - 25%). Vallejo (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 144. Vallejo is ranked ATP: 106.

Recent performances by Passaro have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vallejo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Passaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Vallejo will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.79%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Dino Prizmic - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Francesco Passaro - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Elmer Moller - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWL
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Santiago
22.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Radu David Turcanu	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Gabriel Ghetu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWL?W

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