Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.61	2.48
	1.57	2.48	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.48	Watch
	1.52	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)	2.43 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
60.9%

Francesco Passaro
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Tabilo will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 68. Passaro is ranked ATP: 163.

Tabilo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Passaro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tabilo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tabilo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabilo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWW?
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Dino Prizmic - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Francesco Passaro - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Elmer Moller - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Francesco Passaro - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro	2:0

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