Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Daniel Vallejo		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.46
	1.55	2.39	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)	2.38 ↓ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
60.6%

Thiago Monteiro
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Monteiro will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Monteiro (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 104. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 232.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Vallejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vallejo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vallejo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.89%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Miguel Damas - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
21.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	2:1
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	0:2
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Vallejo	1:2

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