Match Info

Date: 17 October 2022, Monday


	Francesco Passaro		Filip Misolic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45
	1.49	2.5
	1.52	2.58
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.48	2.57	Watch
	1.49	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)	2.54 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
63%

Filip Misolic
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Passaro's performance.

Filip Misolic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filip Misolic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Passaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Misolic than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filip Misolic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Francesco Passaro - Filip Misolic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Misolic will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Misolic: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Passaro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Misolic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Passaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Passaro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Passaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Napoli
16.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
ATP Florence
13.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	David Goffin - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.22	Zdenek Kolar - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLW?L
- Filip Misolic
ATP Napoli
16.10.22	Francesco Maestrelli - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.10.22	Luca Van Assche - Filip Misolic	Misolic F. retired ✺
30.09.22	Filip Misolic - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
29.09.22	Filip Misolic - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
27.09.22	Filip Misolic - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.04.21	Francesco Passaro - Filip Misolic	2:0

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