Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MONTE CARLO (MONACO), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 April 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Francisco Cerundolo		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.98	1.82
	2.01	1.82
	2.12	1.81
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
46.9%

Matteo Berrettini
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.6%	0%	26.4%

Francisco Cerundolo - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 53 - 73.6%). Berrettini will win (votes: 19 - 26.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 63.4% – 83.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Berrettini is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
30.03.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
27.03.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLWWW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Maxime Cressy - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
16.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW

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