Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Austria	Laola1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2
Colombia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Laola1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Peru	ESPN 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1, Prima Sport PPV 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Francis Tiafoe		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	1.50	2.63	Watch
	1.50	2.55
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.56	2.63
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.53	2.60	Watch
	1.54	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.42)	2.6 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
63.1%

Arthur Rinderknech
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Francis Tiafoe - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rinderknech (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 20. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 29.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tiafoe might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 67.51%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
27.07.26	Francis Tiafoe - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
02.07.26	Francis Tiafoe - Jan Choinski	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	Francis Tiafoe - Terence Atmane	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Francis Tiafoe	2:3
ATP Lyon
22.05.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Francis Tiafoe	2:0

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