Match Info

Date: 11 October 2021, Monday


	Francis Tiafoe		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.34	1.56
	2.46	1.62
	2.5	1.53
	2.38	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.53)	1.58 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
39.7%

Hubert Hurkacz
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	0%	61.9%

Francis Tiafoe - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 16 - 38.1%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 26 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 47.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hurkacz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tiafoe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hurkacz will have a small advantage in this match.

Hurkacz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Indian Wells
09.10.21	Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
07.10.21	Benoit Paire - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.21	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:3 ✺
03.09.21	Andrey Rublev - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
01.09.21	Francis Tiafoe - Guido Pella	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Indian Wells
09.10.21	Alexei Popyrin - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP San Diego
30.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
29.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
26.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Peter Gojowczyk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.19	Francis Tiafoe - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2
ATP Next Gen Finals
06.11.18	Francis Tiafoe - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1
ATP Washington
01.08.18	Hubert Hurkacz - Francis Tiafoe	0:2

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