Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Jenson Brooksby		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.94	1.94
	1.94	1.86	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.91	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.23)	1.89 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jenson Brooksby
49.4%

Francis Tiafoe
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenson Brooksby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jenson Brooksby's performance.

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francis Tiafoe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Jenson Brooksby - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Brooksby will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brooksby: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jenson Brooksby will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Brooksby is ranked ATP: 41. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 22.

In recent matches, Brooksby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tiafoe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Tiafoe will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brooksby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.62%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Jenson Brooksby - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Jenson Brooksby - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Zizou Bergs - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Acapulco
28.02.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Houston
06.04.25	Jenson Brooksby - Francis Tiafoe	2:0
ATP Atlanta
30.07.22	Francis Tiafoe - Jenson Brooksby	0:2
ATP Washington
03.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Jenson Brooksby	0:2

Upcoming Matches