Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Francisco Cerundolo		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	1.93	1.88	Watch
	1.98	1.92
	2.03	1.81	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.99	1.89	Watch
	1.93	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
48.1%

Casper Ruud
51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Francisco Cerundolo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Casper Ruud have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	0%	17.9%

Francisco Cerundolo - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (30 of 37 users predict this - 81.08%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.46% – 93.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francisco Cerundolo will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 21. Ruud is ranked ATP: 15.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 3.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Ruud will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
19.04.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Casper Ruud - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
25.03.25	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.24	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.24	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0
ATP Paris
01.11.23	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Roma
17.05.23	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0
ATP Barcelona
20.04.23	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Bastad
13.07.22	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2

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