Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Casper Ruud		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.84
	1.54	2.47	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.39	Watch
	1.52	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)	2.51 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
62%

Daniil Medvedev
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Casper Ruud - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Medvedev will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 56% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Medvedev (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casper Ruud will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Medvedev (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 15. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 10.

Now, both players are in good form.

Ruud could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

Ruud will have a poor advantage in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ruud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Laslo Djere	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP World Tour Finals
20.11.21	Daniil Medvedev - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP Mallorca
24.06.21	Daniil Medvedev - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP Cup
06.01.20	Daniil Medvedev - Casper Ruud	2:0

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